Kuwait Energy
        
        
          EL-12-211107
        
        
          50
        
        
          
            FIGURE 3.6
          
        
        
          
            STRATIGRAPHIC COLUMN, NORTHERN IRAQ
          
        
        
          No GWC or GOC has been directly observed.  The contact depths are constrained only
        
        
          by the fluids produced in the well tests.  Attempts have been made to estimate the GWC
        
        
          depth from reservoir pressure measurements made during well tests and from plots of
        
        
          water saturation vs. depth.  However, in view of the considerable uncertainty in the
        
        
          pressure and water saturation data, GCA does not believe that much weight should be
        
        
          put on those estimates.
        
        
          Although KE’s base case dynamic model, in which well deliverability was calibrated
        
        
          against the production tests, suggested that a total of 21 wells would be sufficient to
        
        
          sustain the required 13-year, 320 MMscfd plateau production, the Operator now believes
        
        
          that a total of 27 wells will be required.  These will comprise 3 that are already drilled
        
        
          (Mansuriya-1, -2 and -3) and just require working over, 1 appraisal well that would double
        
        
          as a development well (the other appraisal well will be drilled in a down-dip location,
        
        
          unsuitable for production) and 23 development wells.
        
        
          Low, best and high production profiles have been generated using the low case, best
        
        
          case and high case dynamic models, where initial CGR was taken as 0, 80 and
        
        
          90 stb/MMscf respectively and variations in well productivity and skin were also
        
        
          incorporated.  In the low case, the gas volumes are insufficient to maintain 320 MMscfd
        
        
          for more than 6 years.